If the Greenland ice melts, the sea will rise by 7 metres. These sketches show how the map of England and Wales could look if all the Antarctic ice also eventually melts. While this could take many years, the worst damage will come early on as coastal towns will be under water, there will be more hurricanes, tornados, flooding, severe storm weather, spread of deserts and widespread droughts. The 'Jet Stream' which influences the weather in the UK may move over the country with more extremes, severe storm weather, flooding and heat waves in summer.

The light blue areas are those that would ultimately be flooded.

England and Wales after the Antarctic has melted

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UK Power station generation plans

 

2009

2020

Coal + some oil

31%

11%?

Gas

44%

39%?

Nuclear

16%

6% ?

Wind (power contribution)

1%

25%

Tidal turbines/wave

 

5%

Tidal barrage/lagoon

 

5%

Hydro/Pump Storage

4%

7%

Other / bio

3%

2%

Total Terrawatt hours

365

410

Total generating capacity 78,000MW installed includes wind capacity 3,800 MW, solar 10 MW (04 08)

Comment.

The EU require the UK to raise renewables from 2% now to 15% in 2020 and 10% fuel from Biofuel (although the CO2 saving with bio may be small if any ). 10% (up to 8600 MW) could come from the Severn barrage project if decided on. (There are 5 alternatives being considered ref 192.)

The UK was one of the first countries to build Nuclear power stations. The initial plans were to base all or most future power supply on Magnox CO2 cooled reactors and Advanced Gas CO2 Reactors, followed by Fast Breeder Reactors to utilise all the fuel potential and eliminate coal fired power stations, then predominant. With the availability of north sea gas and oil in the 70's, costs of the fast reactor at Dounreay rising, the nuclear industry slowed and new construction ceased with the loss of much engineering expertise. Now with a fresh need for nuclear power this expertise will have to be rebuilt.

France (who didn't have such fuel resources) continued building nuclear reactors so now 75 % of power generation in France comes from nuclear and with barrage and hydro most of the power supply in France is free of CO2 emissions. djt

Future plans in the UK are to install 33,000 MW of wind generation around the coast of the UK; 5,500MW by 2013, 20,000 MW offshore by 2020. This will require 3 turbines a day, which is not so far being achieved. Wind power has a low load factor circa 30% to 40%, tidal circa 70%, whereas nuclear nuclear load factors can reach 90%.

Generation three Nuclear design options in UK see advanced nuclear page.

  • The European Pressurised Reactor (EPR) by EDF/AREVA . Standardised design in France. 1600MW.Fuel uranium dioxide. Passive and active safety systems.
  • AP 1000 Westinghouse standard pressurised water reactor (PWR) design based on successful AP600. Fuel uranium dioxide. Passive safety system relies on gravity and natural circulation.
  • Advanced CANDU reactor. AECL ACR1000.
  • Advanced Boiling Water Reactor ESWBR by GE

After planning, licences should be granted to build in 2011, work begin in 2012-2013, and generation start 2017-2018. This long time delay of 8-9 years will leave a shortfall in generation capacity to be filled with extra gas generation.

Current Nuclear power stations

Operational

MW output

Dates live

Shut down

 
Oldbury (magnox)
Shut down
 
Sizewell A(magnox)
 
Wylfa (magnox)
Shut down
+
Berkeley(magnox)
 
Heysham 1 AGR
2390
1989-2014 -2023
HunterstonA(magnox)
 
Hinkley point B AGR
860
1976-2016 +
Dungness A (magnox)
Hunterston B AGR
840
1976-2016
Trawsfynydd(magnox)
Dungness B AGR
1090
1985-2018
Dounreay (fast reactor)
Hartlepool AGR
1190
1989-2014
Hinkley Point A (magnox)
Heysham 2 AGR
2390
1988- 2014-2023
Bradwell(magnox)
Torness AGR
1250
1988-2023
Calder Hall (magnox)
Sizewell B PWR
1180
1995-2035 +
Chapelcross(magnox)
+ sites for new reactors
 
AGR- Advanced Gas (CO2) cooled Reactor ---Stainless steel cans, enriched Uranium.
Magnox - First round of nuclear reactors in UK - Magnox cans, natural uranium, CO2 cooled.

Prospects for permanent CO2 storage in North Sea sandstone off UK at 3 mile depth

Potential in UK North Sea areas is for 40 giga tonnes of CO2 to be liquefied and stored over 200+years in sandstone (porous) capped with mudstone at 3 mile depth.

900MW Coal fired IGCC (scrolldown) power station near Hatfield colliery, saving 5 million tonnes of carbon per year; other proposals for carbon capture at UK coal fired power stations at Kingsnorth (Eon), Longannet (Scottish Power) and Tilbury (RWE).

Tidal turbine prospects in the UK

    Future locations of fast tidal flow see also Tidal page:-

  • Stangford Lough, Co Down North Ireland.
  • Angles N Wales.
  • Pembroke S Wales.
  • Humber estuary near Grimsby.
  • Pentland Firth Between Scotland coast and Orkneys (potential 10,000MW or 15% UK energy.
  • Off Isle of Wight.

Tidal Barrages - potential to supply 10% of UK energy needs (Poritt)

The severn project could produce up to 8600 MW depending on physical size of project.